Investor note · Worked example

Pricing a standalone BESS under Circular 62: a worked example

How Circular 62 prices a 50 MW / 100 MWh standalone battery project at $170/kWh — the two-part formula, the fixed cost-of-capital inputs, and what the framework actually returns to leveraged equity. The companion numbers to the Circular 62 overview.

Utility-scale, ≥10 MW, grid-connected. For behind-the-meter C&I storage, see Factories.

Circular 62/2025/TT-BCT is a genuine two-part tariff: a dispatch-independent capacity charge that recovers fixed costs, plus an energy charge that passes through the cost of charging. The framework caps project IRR at 12% post-tax — but because it assumes 70% gearing, leveraged equity returns land materially higher. At the bankable middle of the market, a representative project returns roughly 15 to 17% to equity. This page runs that calculation in full.

The two prices Circular 62 sets

Circular 62 sets two related prices, and keeping them distinct is the key to reading the regulation correctly.

The price bracket (Pc) is an annual ceiling published by MOIT for the relevant base year. It defines the maximum approved generation price for any project entering operation in that year, expressed per kWh.

The Service Price is the contracted revenue that flows under the bilateral PPA between the project and EVN. It has two components: a Capacity Charge in VND/kW/month paid every month regardless of dispatch, and an Energy Charge in VND/kWh paid per kWh delivered. Expressed per-kWh at the full-load operating point, the Service Price cannot exceed Pc. Pc is the regulatory cap; the Service Price is the cashflow.

The Pc formula

Pc = PCĐ + FOMC + PBĐ

The capex slice (PCĐ) does the heavy lifting. The variable slice (PBĐ) is a passthrough by design — every dong the project pays EVN to charge comes back in the energy payment when it discharges.

Cost of capital under Circular 62

PCĐ uses a weighted average cost of capital on a capital structure the regulation fixes, not one the sponsor chooses. The structure is 70% debt / 30% equity, set by Phụ lục I and not negotiable. At the May 2026 window this produces a pre-tax WACC of roughly 10%.

What the framework pays the sponsor

This is where most published commentary goes wrong. Circular 62 contains two separate 12% figures, and conflating them produces the false conclusion that the framework caps returns at 12%.

The framework caps project IRR at 12% post-tax — the unlevered return on total invested capital (Article 10.1(b); the Vietnamese text reads "tỷ suất sinh lợi nội tại về tài chính (IRR) không vượt quá 12%"). Because the regulation assumes 70% debt at a cost well below that, leveraged equity returns land higher. A project earning 12% post-tax IRR on its full capital base, geared 70% with debt at approximately 7.9% pre-tax, delivers equity IRR well above 12%. For an asset with Circular 62's cashflow shape — fixed capacity revenue, dispatch-independent EBITDA — the gearing uplift typically runs 3 to 5 percentage points, landing equity at roughly 15 to 17% post-tax.

The two 12% numbers are different parameters doing different jobs: Article 5.5(b) sets the cost-of-equity input to the WACC formula; Article 10.1(b) caps the project IRR that comes out of the resulting cashflow. The parallel renewable-energy framework, in force since February 2025, uses identical language, and the Vietnamese solar and wind PPA market has operated on this reading throughout.

Where the project qualifies for renewable-energy tax incentives, the benefit flows to cashflow and debt-service coverage rather than to headline IRR — the post-tax cap binds at 12% either way, and the relief supports higher gearing on a project-specific basis.

Worked example: 50 MW / 100 MWh at $170/kWh

Indicative scenario · 50 MW / 100 MWh standalone BESS · May 2026 rate window

A representative utility-scale standalone BESS, built step by step

Project parameters

  • Power50 MW
  • Capacity100 MWh (2-hour duration)
  • Capex (all-in installed)$170/kWh = $17.0M total
  • Connection voltage110 kV
  • Economic life15 years (Phụ lục I)
  • FX26,355 VND/USD (May 2026)

Cost of capital

  • Debt ratio / equity ratio70% / 30%
  • Foreign debt / VND debt (within debt)80% / 20%
  • SOFR 180-day, 36-mo avg + 3% margin~7.7%
  • VND deposit 12-mo, 60-mo avg + 3% margin~8.75%
  • Blended cost of debt~7.91%
  • Post-tax cost of equity12% (Article 5.5(b))
  • Pre-tax cost of equity (at 20% CIT)15.00%
  • Pre-tax WACC~10.04%

The Pc components

  • Average Fixed Price (PCĐ)~1,579 VND/kWh — $17.0M × 0.1318 CRF ÷ ~37.4 GWh/yr delivered
  • Variable Price (PBĐ)~1,390 VND/kWh — 1,146 ÷ (0.85 × 0.97)
  • Fixed O&M Price (FOMC)~300 VND/kWh — 2.5% of capex per year
  • Pc total≈ 3,269 VND/kWh ≈ $124/MWh

What this delivers

Line item Value
Capacity Payment (annual)~$2.66M
Energy Payment (annual, full dispatch)~$1.97M
Charging cost (annual, full dispatch)~$1.97M
Fixed O&M cash cost~$0.43M
EBITDA~$2.24M
Annual debt service (70% gearing, 7.91%, 15 yr P&I)~$1.35M
DSCR~1.66×
Project IRR (post-tax, 15 yr)~12%
Equity IRR (post-tax, 15 yr)~15–17%

EBITDA is invariant to dispatch by construction — the energy payment exactly cancels the charging cost at the formula's baseline assumptions, so capacity revenue net of fixed O&M equals capex recovery regardless of how much the battery cycles. A take-or-pay capacity stream of ~$2.24M/year against ~$11.9M of senior debt clears comfortably on debt service. This structural insulation from dispatch volume is the central feature of the framework, and it is what makes Circular 62 lender-friendly despite its 12% headline.

Source: Arcus Energy analysis, indicative only — not a live project. All figures depend on inputs that move quarterly; any specific transaction should be modelled against live SOFR and VND deposit windows and the project's own feasibility study. Regulatory references: Circular 62/2025/TT-BCT Articles 5, 7, 10, 11, 16; Decision 1279/QĐ-BCT for the ≥110 kV off-peak manufacturing benchmark (1,146 VND/kWh).

Where the numbers move

Where bankability actually sits

The capacity payment is dispatch-independent — so EBITDA reduces, by construction, to the capex-recovery slice of the capacity payment, and the revenue that services debt does not depend on whether EVN dispatches the battery. The risks that matter sit on performance and process, not on price.

Frequently asked questions

Does Circular 62 cap returns at 12%?

No. The 12% cap applies to project IRR — the unlevered return on total invested capital. Because the regulation assumes a 70% debt structure at a cost well below 12%, leveraged equity returns land higher, typically 15 to 17% post-tax at the bankable middle of the market. The 12% cap and the equity return measure two different things.

Is Circular 62 a two-part tariff?

Yes. The Service Price has a capacity charge in VND/kW/month paid monthly regardless of dispatch, plus an energy charge in VND/kWh paid per kWh delivered. The capacity charge recovers fixed costs and is dispatch-independent, which makes the framework lender-friendly. There is no separate missing capacity-charge regulation — it is built into Circular 62.

Can a private developer use the Circular 17 Power Corporation framework?

No. Circular 17/2025 governs storage invested by EVN's Power Corporations on a cost-recovery basis. A private standalone developer prices under Circular 62; a private developer co-locating storage with a renewable plant prices under Circular 12.

How does the Circular 62 FX adjustment work?

Circular 62 builds an FX adjustment into the foreign-currency portion of debt service, so VND/USD movement flows through to the payment rather than being absorbed by the sponsor. The precise mechanics are set in the PPA. It is a meaningful de-risking feature for foreign-currency-funded projects.

How accurate are these numbers?

They are illustrative, built on the May 2026 rate window and stated assumptions. Cost-of-capital inputs move quarterly, efficiency and loss rate are bilaterally negotiated, and no project has yet been priced. Any live transaction should be modelled against current rate windows and the project's feasibility study.